Predicción del precio del Bitcoin: Los osos toman el control mientras el precio del BTC/USD se mantiene por debajo del nivel de 32.000 dólares

Predicción del precio de Bitcoin (BTC) – 24 de enero

En los últimos días, el precio de Bitcoin ha permanecido bajo una continua presión de venta, ya que la moneda se deslizó por debajo del nivel de 32.000 dólares.

  • Tendencia a largo plazo del BTC/USD: Alcista (gráfico diario)
  • Niveles clave:
  • Niveles de resistencia: $39.000, $41.000, $43.000
  • Niveles de soporte: $26,000, $24,000, $21,000
    BTCUSD – Gráfico diario

El BTC/USD sigue siendo bajista desde el 21 de enero. Sin embargo, durante una reciente venta, el precio de Bitcoin ha recortado casi $13,000 de su precio desde su reciente pico de $41,986, ya que los osos recuperaron la ventaja sobre la tendencia a corto plazo de Bitcoin. Los promedios móviles de 9 y 21 días que se observan en el gráfico diario confirman que los osos ya están tomando el control del precio por primera vez desde octubre de 2020.

Qué esperar de Bitcoin (BTC)

Mirando el gráfico diario, los osos de BTC/USD ahora luchan por mantener el precio del mercado por debajo de los 32.000 dólares. Mientras tanto, la MA de 9 días ha cruzado brevemente por debajo de la MA de 21 días para significar una presión descendente y dar la bienvenida al movimiento bajista en el mercado. Además, si la presión de venta actual se mantiene durante mucho tiempo en las actividades comerciales de Bitcoin, los osos podrían potencialmente mover el precio más allá del anterior soporte probado de $29,000 para encontrar soportes adicionales en $26,000, $24,000 y $22,000 respectivamente.

Sin embargo, si el indicador técnico RSI (14) se mueve por debajo del nivel 40, los operadores deberían estar atentos ya que existe la tendencia de que el mercado pueda ver un rápido movimiento alcista que podría llevar a la moneda reina a los niveles de resistencia de $39,000, $41,000 y $43,000.

BTC/USD Tendencia a medio plazo: Bajista (Gráfico 4H)

Según el gráfico de 4 horas, el precio de Bitcoin se mantiene por debajo de las medias móviles de 9 y 21 días; esto podría sugerir que los osos han llegado para quedarse en el mercado ya que el indicador técnico RSI (14) se mueve alrededor del nivel 40. Por lo tanto, si el precio de $31,000 tuviera que ser violado negativamente, los vendedores tendrían que ejercer más presión para mantener la moneda por debajo.

BTCUSD – Gráfico de 4 horas

Sin embargo, el BTC/USD podría caer y alcanzar los soportes críticos de $29,000, $27,000 y $25,000 respectivamente. Por otro lado, si los alcistas reúnen suficiente impulso, el precio del Bitcoin puede cruzar por encima de las medias móviles para alcanzar la resistencia potencial en los niveles de $35,000, $37,000 y $39,000.

Senador do Nebraska apresenta projetos de lei para permitir

Senador do Nebraska apresenta projetos de lei para permitir aos bancos estaduais a custódia de criptografia

„Precisamos ser um líder em FinTech“, disse o senador estadual Mike Flood.

Um senador do estado de Nebraska propôs uma nova legislação amigável à criptografia que poderia ver seu estado se tornar o próximo porto seguro regulamentar para as empresas FinTech.

Jurado há apenas duas semanas, o republicano Mike Flood apresentou hoje a Lei de Transações em Ativos Digitais e adotou a Lei de Inovação Financeira do Nebraska para a 107ª Legislatura do estado.

Os dois projetos de lei estabelecem diretrizes para que os bancos estaduais sejam capazes de custódia de ativos digitais, além de criar instituições financeiras que lidam com Bitcoin Bank ativos digitais para os quais o Nebraska forneceria „alvará, operação, supervisão e regulamentação“. As medidas também dariam aos tribunais locais a jurisdição para ouvir reclamações „tanto na lei quanto no patrimônio líquido relacionado aos ativos digitais“.

A legislação proposta provavelmente passará para um comitê antes de um processo geral na legislatura estadual, onde os legisladores republicanos atualmente superam os democratas em quase dois para um, 32 para 17.

As propostas de lei também objetivam abordar o problema de grandes bancos nos Estados Unidos discriminando empresas e clientes individuais que usam criptografia.

„A rápida inovação da tecnologia de blockchain e de livros contábeis digitais, incluindo o uso crescente de moeda virtual e outros ativos digitais, resultou na impossibilidade de muitos inovadores da blockchain e consumidores acessarem serviços bancários seguros e confiáveis, dificultando o desenvolvimento de serviços e produtos blockchain no mercado“, afirma o segundo projeto de lei.

„Muitas instituições financeiras no Nebraska e nos Estados Unidos [recusam-se] a fornecer serviços bancários a inovadores e clientes da cadeia de bloqueio e também [recusam-se] a aceitar depósitos em moeda dos Estados Unidos obtidos com a venda de moeda virtual ou outros ativos digitais“.

Flood, que anteriormente serviu como membro e orador da Legislatura do Nebraska até 2013, disse que planejava introduzir contas destinadas a fazer de seu distrito um centro FinTech. Em uma reunião do Comitê de Assuntos Governamentais da Câmara de Comércio de Norfolk na última quarta-feira, o senador estadual descreveu a moeda criptográfica como um mercado com „grande oportunidade“ para o Nebraska.

„Este é o futuro“, disse Flood

„Estar na vanguarda da [criptologia], eu acho, é bom para nós. Precisamos ser um líder na FinTech. Nós em Norfolk temos tanto direito a este novo mercado quanto em qualquer outro lugar na América“.

Sob a 10ª emenda da Constituição dos EUA, as leis estaduais podem muitas vezes ser independentes, ou mesmo contraditórias com as leis federais. Um exemplo disso no espaço criptográfico são as trocas como Binance U.S. tendo que ir estado por estado para disponibilizar legalmente seus serviços aos residentes dos EUA.

Em julho passado, o Escritório de Controladoria da Moeda anunciou que os bancos federais fundados seriam autorizados a fornecer serviços de custódia para a moeda criptográfica. Embora as medidas propostas não fossem necessárias para os bancos federais no Nebraska, as propostas aparentemente tentam estender este benefício aos bancos estaduais.

Does the Bitcoin course still offer good entry opportunities?

Bitcoin (BTC) is a deflationary currency that is basically supposed to rise in price. In the long run, this has always happened so far. The picture shows Bitcoin coins in front of a smartphone price graph.
Higher faster further. That is probably the current motto for the Bitcoin course. One all time high chases the next. A correction is not in sight and yet there are always signs that urge caution. In the following analysis, important price levels are filtered out on a weekly, daily and 4-hour basis.

All good things come in threes for the Bitcoin course

It has now been three weeks since the 2017 All Time High was toppled. In our report of December 14th , 2020 we already pointed out that an enormously strong movement was imminent. The current end of this move is now at $ 34,810 on Coinbase. Which does not mean that this must have been the end of the Bitcoin course. However, should a correction occur, the first longer-term support zone would be between $ 19,300 and $ 19,900.

This tremendous movement of the past three weeks has been aided by crypto-external capital inflows and coin shifts towards Bitcoin. Whether this will be sustainable, however, we can only guess, let alone foresee.

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Also in the Daily an expensive Bitcoin course

Due to the steady increase, the Bitcoin price does not recover and is under constant stress. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which shows whether a market is expensive or cheap, not only sounds the alarm in the weekly. In the Daily, the RSI is now back above 90, which is now calling for a correction.

But every slight drop in price is bought up again immediately and the market never has the chance to recover and rest a little. At the moment, other coins offer much better entry opportunities for a medium-term long position.

A correction of the Bitcoin price could come back to the level between the two daily key levels. This zone extends from $ 22,800 to $ 23,850. As the next support below, we turn our gaze to the zone from the weekly chart.

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Good entry in a smaller time frame

In our last report we drew attention to the still bullish market structure. This signals to a trader that they are looking for long entries. Within the last week, there were two perfect opportunities to trade the Bitcoin price on the long side.

With the break of the 4-hour key level and the subsequent confirmation of it, you couldn’t go wrong with long trades.

Trades against the trend are riskier and work less in percentage terms than trades with the trend. It is not for nothing that it is called “The trend is your friend!”. If the Bitcoin price falls below the mark of 32,225 dollars at the end of the candle, one should keep an eye on the next support zone at 28,800 dollars and 29,360 dollars.

Dash announces new update, social payment portfolio enters testnet

Dash Core Group announced the launch of new upgrades to the Dash platform, as well as the smartphone wallet application, DashPay.

Dash announces new update, social payment wallet enters testnetNOTÍCIAS

Dash has moved the development work on v0.17 from its Crypto Engine platform to the network test phase, according to an announcement on Wednesday. In July, the Cointelegraph reported that Dash Core Group intended to launch the testnet platform before the end of the year.

As part of the announcement, Dash revealed that the testnet environment is five times larger than Evonet, which is almost exclusively owned by Dash Core Group. According to Dana Alibrandi, product manager at Dash:

„This is the largest deployment of the Dash Platform and, consequently, this launch marks the most significant milestone in the realisation of Dash’s long-term vision for mainstream adoption“.
Detailing the protocol updates contained in update v0.17, Dash revealed that it has corrected an infinite vulnerability to credit minting. Version v0.17 also includes features to improve full lightweight client support.

With v0.17 now in testnet, Dash says the v0.18 release is the next item on the agenda. This new update is scheduled for late January or early February and will feature more lightweight client protocol enhancements as well as enhanced functionality for iOS and Android applications on the Dash platform.

Dash also announced the launch of DashPay for the public alpha phase. DashPay is a social encryption payment portfolio with human-readable addresses through the Dash Platform Name Service layer.

While some other crypto businesses offer readable usernames for transactions within a closed wallet ecosystem, Dash previously stated that its service is native to the blockchain itself.

Other features also include contact lists and avatars that the company says will improve payment convenience. The full public launch of the social payment portfolio is scheduled for late 2021.

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

The TIE’s Josh Frank on XRP: „Third Biggest Breakdown Ever“

The token has lost more of its value than the former trading giant Enron.

The XRP’s market cap has fallen nearly $ 130 billion since its all-time high in 2018

The decline in the cryptocurrency project is therefore comparable to the collapse of large financial institutions.

According to Josh Frank of the crypto-focused research firm The TIE, the project is experiencing a similar breakdown as some of the biggest corporate scandals and disasters in recent history.

At its peak, XRP’s market cap was around $ 140 billion in January 2018. This recently slipped below $ 10 billion. The loss is estimated to be $ 130 billion in less than three years. That makes XRP’s „collapse“ the third largest after Washington Mutual’s $ 327 billion bankruptcy and the 2008 breakdown of investment giant Lehman Brothers, with a loss of $ 691 billion.

„It’s sad and unfortunate that the biggest losers in XRP history are private investors who have lost unimaginable amounts of money,“ Frank told Cointelegraph. „The founders of Ripple have dumped their tokens for years, making hundreds of millions of dollars.“

The US Securities and Exchange Commission Ripple, CEO Brad Garlinghouse and co-founder Chris Larsen wants because of the implementation of an „unregistered, continuous supply of digital securities“ for their XRP sales sue .

Since this news became public, the token price has fallen rapidly

Crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Bittrex, OKCoin, Bitstamp, OSL, Beaxy and CrossTower later announced that they would suspend trading with XRP or take the token off the platform entirely. This created additional sales pressure.

Institutional actors are also gradually distancing themselves from XRP. The Grayscale Investments website now states that the „XRP Trust’s private placement is currently closed“. A Twitter user claimed that the company was also no longer processing pending applications for the XRP Trust.

At press time, XRP is $ 0.21 after falling more than 65 percent in the past 30 days.

This great Wall Street figure shocks his world

„Bitcoin soon at $400,000“ – This great Wall Street figure shocks his world

An insane prediction on Bitcoin – Guggenheim Partners is obviously bullsih on Bitcoin. After taking a 10% stake – about $50 million – in Grayscale’s Bitcoin fund, Scott Minerd, its chief investment officer, surprised Bloomberg presenters by announcing a $400,000 Bitcoin. This astronomical Bitcoin Superstar price would be derived from Guggenheim’s fundamental analyses. According to Minerd, 2 metrics were taken into account to determine this price: the scarcity of the asset and its relative value compared to an ounce of gold.

„Bitcoin has many of the attributes of gold and at the same time has an unusual transaction value. »
Scott Minerd, Investment Director at Guggenheim Partners

„Our fundamental work shows that Bitcoin should be worth about $400,000,“ says Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd https://t.co/9QyOWyYAVA pic.twitter.com/uojQqaKPia
– Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV) December 16, 2020

A fundamental model based on rarity and similarities with gold?

This is strongly reminiscent of the Stock-to-Flow model of the PlanB analyst.

Chart update: #bitcoin S2F (time series only) model. BTC price (red dots) moves nicely towards model line (white line), just like 2017 and 2013. And … do I see a little orange?👀 pic.twitter.com/R7SGmpHAiU
– PlanB (@100trillionUSD) December 15, 2020

To put it simply, this model values an asset according to its production. This same model predicts a continuous appreciation of Bitcoin following halvings to reach monumental values.

To go further on Stock-to-Flow, you can consult this series of articles proposed by the Journal du Coin team.

This appetizing statement is obviously to be taken with a grain of salt (like all the others by the way), since it comes in the middle of ATH and comes from an actor already (strongly) positioned on Bitcoin.

Bitcoin sees „longest and most stable“ rally ever: 73% gain in just 73 days

Bitcoin’s intense uptrend shows no signs of slowing down in the near future either. The cryptocurrency is now trading over $ 18,000.

Whether or not the mark can be broken permanently depends largely on whether or not trying to reverse the uptrend is possible at this point in time. There are already serious signs of exhaustion among sellers that they may not be able to catalyze a sell-off.

How the overall market trend will develop depends entirely on Bitcoin – and how the asset reacts to that level.

Bitcoin is pushing for new highs for the year as selling pressure eases

Bitcoin Millionaire has not seen any intense sell-offs in the course of its recent uptrend. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $ 18,010.

While the bears have tried to spark multiple rejections at this level, they don’t seem too strong for now.

BTC is experiencing the „longest and most stable“ rally ever

A trading company wrote in a tweet about the recent upward trend of Bitcoin , declaring that the Bitcoin price over the past 73 days is shot by cops by about 73% higher.

They consider this to be the „longest and most stable“ rally Bitcoin has seen in its history, as vertical moves like this are typically quick and short-lived.

„This BTC movement is becoming the trendiest (longest & most stable) rally in BTC history – 73 days and + 73% now with just two 10% returns on the way.“

Kraken’s position on the likely Bitcoin Cash Hard Fork

Kraken is the latest cryptographic exchange to disclose its position on the potential division of the Bitcoin Cash chain.

The exchange indicates that it supports Bitcoin Cash Node in the event of a split.

If Bitcoin Cash ABC attracts more than 10% of the hashing power, Kraken will credit users with newly created corners.

The Trust Project is an international consortium of media organizations based on transparency standards.

The leading cryptographic exchange Kraken will support Bitcoin Superstar Node if a split of the BCH chain occurs this month. The trading platform will only credit users with Bitcoin Cash ABC if it manages to attract significant hashing power after the introduction of a controversial network upgrade on November 15.

Exchanges and other cryptographic companies continue to reveal their own positions in the face of any upcoming split in the chain. So far, the responses have been varied.

Another hard fork?

The cryptographic industry is increasingly expecting a new split in the Bitcoin Cash chain later this month. A controversial and apparently marginally supported network upgrade threatens to create two versions of Bitcoin Cash. Change managers plan to implement the change on November 15.

The upgrade focuses on the issue of developer funding. Some community members are supporting an 8% developer payment taken directly from block awards.

Meanwhile, others disagree, believing that bulk rewards should not fund developers. Those in favor of a hard fork to bring in an integrated development fund form the Bitcoin Cash ABC camp. Meanwhile, opponents support the implementation known as the Bitcoin Cash Node.

Bitcoin Cash BTC BCH
Kraken is the last exchange to announce its position on the issue. The encryption trading platform, which recently became the first to boast a banking license, said in a blog post that it would support Bitcoin Cash Node regardless of the outcome of the hard fork.

The exchange says it will refer to Bitcoin Cash Node as „Bitcoin Cash“. It will also continue to use the „BCH“ symbol for the non-developer fund implementation. It justifies its position by referencing 70% of the network signaling support for Bitcoin Cash Node versus less than 1% for Bitcoin Cash ABC.

Kraken will only support Bitcoin Cash ABC if it attracts at least 10% of the total hashing power of Bitcoin Cash Node. He adds that he may not support full trading of Bitcoin Cash ABC.

If the new version attracts sufficient hashing power, the exchange will credit users holding BCH at the time of the split with an equal number of Bitcoin Cash ABC. However, Kraken’s support may be limited to allowing only the withdrawal of funds.

If it supports the implementation of the development fund, it will do so under the symbol „BAB“, referring to the asset as „Bitcoin Cash ABC“. The exchange recommends that these Bitcoin Cash margin traders close their positions before the fork.

Different exchanges, different opinions

As BeInCrypto reported previously, the response of the cryptographic industry to the hard fork has been varied. Contrary to Kraken’s position, the manufacturer of the Trezor hardware portfolio, Satoshi Labs, will support Bitcoin Cash ABC by default.

The company claims that it will not take a snapshot of the blockchain or immediately credit users with a newly created cryptomatch. However, it will monitor all implementations and may introduce support at a later date.

Meanwhile, many exchange platforms have stated that they will take snapshots of users‘ balances and credit accounts with all tokens created during the split. These include Binance, Huobi and OKEx.

Bitcoin closes at its highest level in almost three years

Bitcoin’s price hit its highest weekly close since January 2018.

Long-term technical indicators are bullish, while short-term ones look bearish.

BTC could move in a short term ascending parallel channel.

The Trust Project is an international consortium of news organizations based on transparency standards.

During the week of October 19-26, Bitcoin (BTC) closed above $ 13,000. The long term trend is bullish, but the short term chart has started to show weaknesses.

Going above or below the current parallel channel will likely determine the direction of movement in the short term.

Weekly bullish close for Bitcoin

During the week of October 19-26, BTC price created a bullish recovery candlestick with a body measuring 13.5% in magnitude. Its weekly close at $ 13,039 is the highest since January 2018.

BTC is still moving near the long term resistance of $ 13,500 to $ 14,000, created by the candle highs of July 2019. That said, it has already crossed above the resistance of $ 11,800, created by weekly closings since February 2018 (dotted line below).

It is therefore possible that Bitcoin has already broken through a crucial resistance zone. A move maintained above $ 13,500 would strengthen this hypothesis.

Interestingly, the recent rise did not generate a bearish divergence in the RSI given that the latter’s recent high was slightly above that of August 17th. Additionally, the Stochastic Oscillator is still rising, so there is no weakness present in the daily timescale yet.

In the daily timescale, price has been rising from the bullish recovery candlestick on October 21. BTC created a small bearish candlestick on October 25, but there are no clear signs of weaknesses in the daily data yet.

The MACD, RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are on the rise, and have yet to generate any bearish divergence.

The shorter term six and two hour charts are showing the first signs of weakness in their trading structures

During the two most recent highs, the RSI generated bearish divergences and the price created a falling star candlestick.

These are bearish signs indicating that a correction could follow shortly. In this case, the closest support levels are near $ 12,300 and $ 12,040, which are the 0.5 e 0.618 fibonacci levels of the most recent highs. This last zone also coincides with the previous resistance, which should now serve as support.

The two hour graph shows a possible ascending parallel channel. As of this writing, the price was in the process of creating a hammer candlestick, and moving past the middle of the channel.

The move of BTC above or below the channel could be the short term trigger that will determine the direction of the next trend. A passage under the canal would likely lower the course to the aforementioned support areas. On the contrary, a passage above the channel could be followed by a new test of the long term resistance zone of $ 13,500-14,000.

Due to the weaknesses in the short / medium term timescales, a passage under the channel seems more plausible. That said, the long term trend is bullish.

Il prezzo del bitcoin oscilla sopra i 12.500 $, vinceranno i tori?

Il prezzo del Bitcoin è tecnicamente rialzista da un approccio dall’alto verso il basso.

Al momento della scrittura, la moneta sta cambiando di mano a $ 13.078, guadagnando un discreto 14 percento contro il biglietto verde nell’ultima settimana di trading.

Tuttavia, ci sono accenni di sopravvalutazione data la resistenza ai rialzi negli ultimi due o tre giorni

Durante il fine settimana, i prezzi sono rimasti bloccati all’interno di un intervallo commerciale ristretto poiché i pull hanno temporaneamente spinto i prezzi a $ 13.361 (dati Coinbase), prima di raffreddarsi ai prezzi attuali.

Come l’ultima metà della scorsa settimana, il prezzo di Bitcoin rimane in modalità intervallo. Il massimo di oggi è a $ 13.156, un’espansione dai $ 13.045 aperti. Tuttavia, poiché gli orsi resistono ai tentativi degli acquirenti, potrebbe esserci un calo temporaneo sotto i 12.983 $.

Dietro l’aumento della partecipazione e l’espansione dei prezzi ci sono fondamentali di supporto

Il principale tra questi è l’evoluzione del Bitcoin sia come negozio digitale di valore che come mezzo di scambio come previsto.

Secondo Michael Saylor di MicroStrategy, gli investitori, allo stato attuale delle cose, possono long BTC o short USD poiché c’è una distorsione. In teoria, spiega , „i flussi di cassa di un’attività azionaria priva di rischio dovrebbero crescere più rapidamente del tasso di espansione monetaria affinché funga da buona riserva di valore“.

La sua azienda ha investito $ 475 milioni in BTC a settembre, una mossa che ha spinto altre società pubbliche, tra cui Square, ad affondare $ 50 milioni.

La scorsa settimana, Mode Banking, una società quotata alla Borsa di Londra, ha affermato che investirà il 10% delle sue riserve di liquidità in Bitcoin per proteggere i suoi investitori dalla svalutazione della valuta o dall’inflazione .